Match Info

HLA - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	HSG Graz		Tirol

	1	X	2
	2.33	7.6	1.85
	2.48	6.91	1.82	Watch
	2.25	7.5	1.83
	2.23	8.6	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.44)	7.65 ↑ (7.26)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Graz
39.1%

Draw
11.9%

Tirol
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

12.5%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

11.7%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

HSG Graz - Tirol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 3.

HSG Graz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tirol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

HSG Graz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 554:582. (average 27.7:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, HSG Graz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 306:321. (average 27.8:29.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Handball Tirol	5	4	0	1	152:149	8
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163:166	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
02.05.26	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	23:21 ✺
18.04.26	HSG Graz - Vöslauer	35:39 ✺
15.04.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	37:28 ✺
11.04.26	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	26:25 ✺
27.03.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- Handball Tirol
Austrian NLA Handball
01.05.26	Tirol - Bregenz	39:36 ✺
18.04.26	Tirol - Fivers Margareten	28:32 ✺
15.04.26	Vöslauer - Tirol	22:21 ✺
11.04.26	Tirol - Bregenz	31:31 ✺
27.03.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
27.03.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	29:28
Austrian OHB Cup
18.02.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	37:39
Austrian NLA Handball
07.11.25	Tirol - HSG Graz	34:33
21.12.24	Tirol - HSG Graz	23:29
13.09.24	HSG Graz - Tirol	32:31
15.12.23	HSG Graz - Tirol	29:30
09.09.23	Tirol - HSG Graz	29:28

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