Match Info

HLA - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Fivers Margareten		Alpla Hard

	1	X	2
	1.61	7.75	2.75
	1.68	8.00	2.70
	1.61	7.8	2.84	Watch
	1.60	8.75	2.75
	1.67	9.00	2.67	Watch
	1.64	8.40	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	8.28 ↑ (6.7)	2.77 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fivers Margareten
55.9%

Draw
11%

Alpla Hard
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

13.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

12.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fivers Margareten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fivers Margareten's performance.

Alpla Hard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fivers Margareten than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpla Hard than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fivers Margareten won 2.

Fivers Margareten has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Alpla Hard has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Alpla Hard could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fivers Margareten holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Fivers Margareten in today's match, at odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fivers Margareten has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 618:637 (averaging 30.9:31.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fivers Margareten against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 313:311 goals (averaging 31.3:31.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Aon Fivers	6	5	0	1	221:189	10
9	Alpla Hard	6	2	0	4	182:189	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fivers WAT Margareten
Austrian NLA Handball
07.10.26	HSG Graz - Fivers Margareten	34:37 ✺
03.10.26	Füchse - Fivers Margareten	31:38 ✺
26.09.26	Fivers Margareten - Tirol	32:34 ✺
EHF European Cup
19.09.26	Fivers Margareten - Giresunspor	47:27
13.09.26	Giresunspor - Fivers Margareten	28:40
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWW
- Alpla Hard
Austrian NLA Handball
03.10.26	Alpla Hard - Bärnbach Köflach	26:34 ✺
26.09.26	Krems - Alpla Hard	27:32 ✺
23.09.26	Alpla Hard - Vöslauer	34:27 ✺
EHF European Cup
19.09.26	Alpla Hard - Dubočica	32:34
12.09.26	Dubočica - Alpla Hard	34:33
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
09.05.26	Alpla Hard - Fivers Margareten	31:33
05.05.26	Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard	31:32
01.05.26	Alpla Hard - Fivers Margareten	32:33
27.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard	26:28
07.11.25	Alpla Hard - Fivers Margareten	38:29
20.05.25	Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard	51:52 penalties
17.05.25	Alpla Hard - Fivers Margareten	40:38 OT

Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide