Match Info

HLA - Round 9

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Fivers Margareten		Ferlach

	1	X	2
	1.39	9.8	3.6
	1.33	8.17	4.01	Watch
	1.34	11	4.02	Watch
	1.37	9.44	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)	9.6 ↑ (8.17)	3.78 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fivers Margareten
66.7%

Draw
9.4%

Ferlach
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

10.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.2%

12.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fivers Margareten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ferlach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fivers Margareten than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fivers Margareten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Fivers Margareten - Ferlach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fivers Margareten won 3.

Recent form of Fivers Margareten has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferlach is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fivers Margareten may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fivers Margareten is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fivers Margareten won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 634:566. (average 31.7:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fivers Margareten won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 298:244. (average 33.1:27.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fivers WAT Margareten
Austrian NLA Handball
07.11.25	Alpla Hard - Fivers Margareten	38:29 ✺
25.10.25	Fivers Margareten - Füchse	29:29 ✺
21.10.25	Bärnbach Köflach - Fivers Margareten	31:30 ✺
EHF European Cup
11.10.25	Krems - Fivers Margareten	31:27 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
04.10.25	Fivers Margareten - Linz	27:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW
- SC Ferlach
Austrian NLA Handball
08.11.25	Ferlach - Vöslauer	28:27 ✺
25.10.25	Bregenz - Ferlach	29:27 ✺
18.10.25	Ferlach - HSG Graz	27:27 ✺
04.10.25	Tirol - Ferlach	33:34 ✺
27.09.25	Ferlach - Krems	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
29.03.25	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	30:28
02.11.24	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	32:32
15.12.23	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	32:33
05.09.23	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	30:34
13.05.23	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	26:28
06.05.23	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	25:23
18.03.23	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	33:28

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