Match Info

HLA - Round 21

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Fivers Margareten		Krems

	1	X	2
	1.9	7.6	2.28
	1.87	6.94	2.38	Watch
	1.91	7.5	2.2
	1.88	8.7	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.46)	7.69 ↑ (7.47)	2.28 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fivers Margareten
48.2%

Draw
11.8%

Krems
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

11.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

11%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fivers Margareten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fivers Margareten's form might have worsened.

Krems has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krems's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fivers Margareten than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fivers Margareten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krems than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krems, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fivers Margareten - Krems Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

First leg result: 27-31. Aggregate: 59-58. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fivers Margareten won 0.

Fivers Margareten has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krems has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Krems may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fivers Margareten won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 633:641. (average 31.7:32.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fivers Margareten won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 289:294. (average 32.1:32.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Aon Fivers	5	4	0	1	183:158	8
11	Krems	5	1	0	4	145:158	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fivers WAT Margareten
Austrian NLA Handball
11.04.26	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	33:31 ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
03.04.26	Fivers Margareten - Hollabrunn	37:41 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
27.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard	26:28 ✺
14.03.26	Füchse - Fivers Margareten	32:30 ✺
07.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Bärnbach Köflach	36:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- UHK Krems
Austrian NLA Handball
11.04.26	Krems - Vöslauer	29:33 ✺
27.03.26	Bregenz - Krems	28:35 ✺
14.03.26	Krems - HSG Graz	29:28 ✺
07.03.26	Tirol - Krems	37:35 ✺
04.03.26	Hollabrunn - Krems	30:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
26.11.25	Krems - Fivers Margareten	35:33
EHF European Cup
11.10.25	Krems - Fivers Margareten	31:27
Austrian NLA Handball
20.12.24	Krems - Fivers Margareten	32:27
11.09.24	Fivers Margareten - Krems	29:30
03.02.24	Krems - Fivers Margareten	34:33
20.09.23	Fivers Margareten - Krems	39:36
Austrian OHB Cup
04.03.23	Krems - Fivers Margareten	35:38

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