Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Red Hall (Velenje)


	Gorenje Velenje		Jeruzalem Ormož

	1	X	2
	1.22	12	5
	1.19	11.46	6.23	Watch
	1.21	12.5	5.29
	1.2	10	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.08)	11.49 ↓ (14)	5.55 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorenje Velenje
75.6%

Draw
7.9%

Jeruzalem Ormož
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.5%

6.4%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorenje Velenje's form might have worsened.

Jeruzalem Ormož has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeruzalem Ormož's recent form is better than expected.

Gorenje Velenje - Jeruzalem Ormož Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorenje won 3.

Gorenje is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jeruzalem Ormož's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jeruzalem Ormož may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gorenje is the obvious favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gorenje won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 395:325. (average 30.4:25).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorenje won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 196:149. (average 32.7:24.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
11.10.25	Škofljica - Gorenje Velenje	31:30 ✺
04.10.25	Gorenje Velenje - Trimo Trebnje	23:26 ✺
01.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Gorenje Velenje	31:27 ✺
26.09.25	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	35:31 ✺
20.09.25	Škofja Loka - Gorenje Velenje	25:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- RK Jeruzalem Ormož
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
08.10.25	Jeruzalem Ormož - Celje Pivovarna Laško	36:36 ✺
04.10.25	Radovljica - Jeruzalem Ormož	27:30 ✺
01.10.25	Škofljica - Jeruzalem Ormož	29:29 ✺
27.09.25	Jeruzalem Ormož - Trimo Trebnje	20:28 ✺
19.09.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Jeruzalem Ormož	44:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
12.02.25	Jeruzalem Ormož - Gorenje Velenje	27:37
12.11.24	Gorenje Velenje - Jeruzalem Ormož	30:24
16.12.23	Jeruzalem Ormož - Gorenje Velenje	25:25
11.04.23	Gorenje Velenje - Jeruzalem Ormož	28:28
22.10.22	Jeruzalem Ormož - Gorenje Velenje	24:30
19.04.22	Gorenje Velenje - Jeruzalem Ormož	36:24
30.10.21	Jeruzalem Ormož - Gorenje Velenje	28:28

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