Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Gummersbach		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	1.2	12	7
	1.21	12	5.2
	1.18	9.58	7.44	Watch
	1.24	12.7	5.24
	1.23	12	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)	11.66 ↑ (9.45)	6.18 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gummersbach
76.9%

Draw
8%

Stuttgart
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

9.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

9.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gummersbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gummersbach's performance.

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gummersbach than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Gummersbach - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gummersbach will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gummersbach: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gummersbach will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gummersbach won 4.

Gummersbach is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Stuttgart has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gummersbach is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gummersbach won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 418:379. (average 29.9:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gummersbach won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 208:178. (average 29.7:25.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Gummersbach
German Bundesliga Handball
19.09.25	GWD Minden - Gummersbach	23:31 ✺
14.09.25	Gummersbach - Füchse Berlin	34:29 ✺
07.09.25	TBV Lemgo - Gummersbach	31:25 ✺
04.09.25	Gummersbach - MT Melsungen	29:28 ✺
27.08.25	Hannover-Burgdorf - Gummersbach	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWW
- TVB 1898 Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Handball
18.09.25	Stuttgart - Frisch Auf Göppingen	28:28 ✺
14.09.25	Magdeburg - Stuttgart	32:23 ✺
06.09.25	Stuttgart - Bergischer	35:28 ✺
04.09.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Stuttgart	29:29 ✺
31.08.25	Stuttgart - HSV Hamburg	33:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
08.02.25	Gummersbach - Stuttgart	36:29
25.09.24	Stuttgart - Gummersbach	28:35
24.03.24	Gummersbach - Stuttgart	35:27
25.09.23	Stuttgart - Gummersbach	29:31
04.06.23	Stuttgart - Gummersbach	31:30
22.09.22	Gummersbach - Stuttgart	29:24
26.12.18	Stuttgart - Gummersbach	31:30

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