Match Info

Champions League

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Palais des Sports de Beaulieu (Nantes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	HBC Nantes		Aalborg

	1	X	2
	2.2	8.5	2.05	Watch
	2.1	7.6	2.03
	1.91	6.20	2.55	Watch
	2.17	9.65	2.1	Watch
	2.25	8.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)	8.09 ↓ (8.55)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HBC Nantes
44.4%

Draw
11.7%

Aalborg
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

11.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

10.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Aalborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HBC Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aalborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HBC Nantes - Aalborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Lineups


18. Abdi A.	9. Anderson P.
9. Avelange T.	22. Antonsen R.
16. Biosca I.	7. Arnoldsen T.
13. Bos J.	19. Bjornsen K.
3. Briet T.	17. Blonz A.
15. Gaber M.	14. Hangaard M.
2. Lagarde R.	1. Jacobsen N.
4. Minne A.	11. Jensen S.
17. Noam L.	23. Juul B.
8. Nyateu O.	21. Knorr J.
19. Odriozola K.	20. Moller F.
24. Peyrabout Y.	25. Munk M.
30. Salmon J.	3. Nilsson L.
6. Tarrafeta I.	12. Norsten F.
11. Tournat N.	8. Ronningen V.
5. Yoshida S.	5. Sagosen S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Recently, Nantes has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 192:188. (average 32:31.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 102:86. (average 34:28.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
18.10.25	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:31 ✺
EHF Champions League
15.10.25	Vive Kielce - HBC Nantes	27:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
12.10.25	USAM Nimes - HBC Nantes	31:38 ✺
EHF Champions League
08.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - HBC Nantes	28:39 ✺
French Starligue Handball
05.10.25	HBC Nantes - Saint-Raphael	46:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWWW
- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
18.10.25	Aalborg - Fredericia	38:20 ✺
EHF Champions League
15.10.25	Aalborg - Dinamo Bucureşti	34:28 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
11.10.25	Grindsted - Aalborg	27:36 ✺
EHF Champions League
08.10.25	Kolstad - Aalborg	26:35 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
05.10.25	Sønderjysk Elite - Aalborg	34:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
05.03.25	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	29:29
11.09.24	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	38:31
01.12.22	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	35:28
23.11.22	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	32:35
10.02.21	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	38:29
14.10.20	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	32:24

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