Match Info

Champions League

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sporting TV
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Sporting Lisbon		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.7	8.5	2.8	Watch
	1.65	8	2.95
	1.62	8.2	2.75
	1.72	8.4	2.94	Watch
	1.64	8.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	8.34 ↓ (8.45)	2.88 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
56.2%

Draw
11.2%

HBC Nantes
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

11%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

10.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

HBC Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sporting Lisbon - HBC Nantes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 3 - 60%). Nantes (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 64.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:32

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Lineups


5. Alvarez C.	18. Abdi A.
92. Aly M.	9. Avelange T.
3. Berlin E.	16. Biosca I.
22. Branquinho D.	3. Briet T.
6. Costa F.	15. Gaber M.
79. Costa M.	2. Lagarde R.
19. Gassama M.	4. Minne A.
8. Gurri J.	17. Noam L.
20. Kristensen A.	8. Nyateu O.
9. Martinez P.	19. Odriozola K.
44. Moga C.	10. Ovnicek R.
2. Oliviera E.	1. Pesic I.
13. Rocha S.	7. Rivera V.
93. Romero V.	6. Tarrafeta I.
7. Suarez N.	11. Tournat N.
17. Thorkelsson O.	5. Yoshida S.

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Nantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.

Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:60. (average 28.5:30).

Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
04.10.25	Arsenal Andebol - Sporting Lisbon	22:42 ✺
01.10.25	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon	26:43 ✺
27.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	30:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
24.09.25	Aalborg - Sporting Lisbon	35:30 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
21.09.25	ABC Braga - Sporting Lisbon	24:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLW
- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
05.10.25	HBC Nantes - Saint-Raphael	46:32 ✺
28.09.25	Dijon - HBC Nantes	34:48 ✺
EHF Champions League
24.09.25	HBC Nantes - Kolstad	39:24 ✺
French Starligue Handball
21.09.25	HBC Nantes - Istres OPH	34:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
18.09.25	Veszprém - HBC Nantes	30:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
30.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - HBC Nantes	30:32
23.04.25	HBC Nantes - Sporting Lisbon	28:27

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