Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 3


	HSG Wetzlar		Bergischer

	1	X	2
	1.8	8	2.7
	1.77	7.6	2.48
	1.88	6.99	2.39	Watch
	1.73	7	2.5
	1.81	8.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.49)	7.68 ↓ (9.05)	2.49 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Wetzlar
51.1%

Draw
12%

Bergischer
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

10.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

10.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Wetzlar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSG Wetzlar's form might have worsened.

Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bergischer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Wetzlar than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSG Wetzlar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bergischer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

HSG Wetzlar - Bergischer Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Wetzlar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bergischer will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 1.

Wetzlar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bergischer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wetzlar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 507:512. (average 25.4:25.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wetzlar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 232:234. (average 25.8:26).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
16	Bergischer	7	1	0	6	197:223	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	8	0	2	6	242:269	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Wetzlar
German Bundesliga Handball
11.04.26	Gummersbach - HSG Wetzlar	32:24 ✺
02.04.26	HSG Wetzlar - Stuttgart	31:31 ✺
28.03.26	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - HSG Wetzlar	41:27 ✺
14.03.26	GWD Minden - HSG Wetzlar	31:33 ✺
08.03.26	HSG Wetzlar - MT Melsungen	32:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWL
- Bergischer HC 06
German DHB Pokal
19.04.26	Füchse Berlin - Bergischer	42:33 ✺
18.04.26	Bergischer - Magdeburg	31:30 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
12.04.26	Bergischer - Stuttgart	25:25 ✺
02.04.26	Bergischer - Gummersbach	30:39 ✺
26.03.26	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	34:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
09.10.25	Bergischer - HSG Wetzlar	35:28
23.12.23	Bergischer - HSG Wetzlar	23:28
13.10.23	HSG Wetzlar - Bergischer	28:32
Club Friendly Hanbdall
12.08.23	HSG Wetzlar - Bergischer	29:33
German Bundesliga Handball
19.03.23	HSG Wetzlar - Bergischer	22:28
06.11.22	Bergischer - HSG Wetzlar	24:23
26.03.22	HSG Wetzlar - Bergischer	23:27

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