Match Info

Champions League - Preliminary - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palais des Sports de Beaulieu (Nantes) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 10
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay
France	20:45	beIN Sports 2
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 8
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo


	HBC Nantes		MT Melsungen

	1	X	2
	1.6	8.5	3.2	Watch
	1.63	7.25	2.75
	1.63	8.4	2.85	Watch
	1.65	8.2	2.96	Watch
	1.57	8	2.95
	1.73	9.3	2.82	Watch
	1.55	7.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)	8.16 ↓ (9.8)	2.92 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HBC Nantes
57%

Draw
11.3%

MT Melsungen
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.1%

9.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

9.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HBC Nantes's form might have worsened.

MT Melsungen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MT Melsungen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HBC Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

HBC Nantes - MT Melsungen Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Melsungen (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melsungen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nantes holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nantes has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 23:28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
11.10.26	HBC Nantes - Caen	38:31 ✺
EHF Champions League
08.10.26	MT Melsungen - HBC Nantes	28:23 ✺
French Starligue Handball
03.10.26	Dunkerque - HBC Nantes	24:31 ✺
27.09.26	HBC Nantes - Fenix Toulouse	29:30 ✺
20.09.26	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW
- MT Melsungen
German Bundesliga Handball
11.10.26	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	33:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
08.10.26	MT Melsungen - HBC Nantes	28:23 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
03.10.26	MT Melsungen - Hannover-Burgdorf	28:22 ✺
26.09.26	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - MT Melsungen	30:28 ✺
German DHB Pokal
22.09.26	MT Melsungen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	35:33 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
08.10.26	MT Melsungen - HBC Nantes	28:23

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
31.10.26	Cesson Rennes Métropole - HBC Nantes	✺
- MT Melsungen
German Bundesliga Handball
01.11.26	HSG Wetzlar - MT Melsungen	✺

HBC Nantes - MT Melsungen