Match Info

EHF Euro - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Voyo
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Egypt	On Time Sports 1
France	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Iceland	RUV
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	KTV Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
North-macedonia	MRT 1, MRT Play
Poland	Eurosport 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	RTP 2
Russia	MATCH! Igra
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Iceland		Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.42	9	4	Watch
	1.47	9.4	3.2
	1.46	8.52	3.83	Watch
	1.44	8.5	3.75
	1.44	9.7	3.51
	1.48	9	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	9.02 ↑ (8.81)	3.66 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iceland
64.2%

Draw
10.3%

Croatia
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

10.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

10.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iceland than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Iceland - Croatia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.89) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Iceland will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iceland will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Lineups


21. Arnarsson A.	14. Cesko D.
8. Elisson B.	33. Cindric L.
11. Gislason Y.	57. Glavas F.
22. Gudjonsson S.	62. Jelinic M.
15. Gunnarsson T.	9. Klarica L.
1. Gustavsson B.	41. Lucin T.
16. Hallgrimsson V.	30. Mamic M.
10. Kristjansson G.	39. Mandic D.
7. Kristjansson V.	12. Mandic M.
14. Magnusson O.	20. Maras M.
27. Olafsson E.	51. Martinovic I.
2. Rikhardsson O.	93. Nacinovic V.
3. Smarason J.	23. Rauzan Z.
19. Thorkelsson O.	43. Slavic D.
25. Thrastarson H.	6. Sostaric M.
18. Vidarsson E.	52. Susnja L.
Coaches
. Gudjonsson S. S.	. Sigurdsson D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iceland won 1.

In recent matches, Iceland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Croatia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Iceland is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iceland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 189:212. (average 27:30.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iceland handball
Handball European Championship
30.01.26	Denmark - Iceland	31:28 ✺
28.01.26	Slovenia - Iceland	31:39 ✺
27.01.26	Switzerland - Iceland	38:38 ✺
25.01.26	Iceland - Sweden	35:27 ✺
23.01.26	Iceland - Croatia	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL
- Croatia handball
Handball European Championship
30.01.26	Germany - Croatia	31:28 ✺
28.01.26	Croatia - Hungary	27:25 ✺
27.01.26	Slovenia - Croatia	25:29 ✺
25.01.26	Switzerland - Croatia	24:28 ✺
23.01.26	Iceland - Croatia	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Handball European Championship
23.01.26	Iceland - Croatia	29:30
Handball World Championship
24.01.25	Croatia - Iceland	32:26
Handball European Championship
22.01.24	Croatia - Iceland	30:35
24.01.22	Iceland - Croatia	22:23
Handball World Championship
11.01.19	Iceland - Croatia	27:31
Handball European Championship
14.01.18	Iceland - Croatia	22:29
19.01.16	Croatia - Iceland	37:28

Iceland - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide