Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Krka		Slovenj Gradec

	1	X	2
	1.83	7.5	2.1
	1.96	6.8	2.22	Watch
	1.92	8.6	2.19
	1.98	7.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)	7.63 ↑ (6.7)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krka
46.8%

Draw
11.8%

Slovenj Gradec
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

13.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

13.3%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Slovenj Gradec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenj Gradec than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Krka - Slovenj Gradec Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Krka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krka won 3.

Krka has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Slovenj Gradec have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Krka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Krka has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 441:405 (averaging 29.4:27 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Krka against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 238:220 goals (averaging 29.8:27.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Krka	6	4	2	0	188:172	10
7	Slovenj Gradec	6	2	2	2	174:168	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MRK Krka
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
26.09.26	Ribnica - Krka	29:29 ✺
18.09.26	Krka - Ajdovščina	37:33 ✺
12.09.26	Krka - Jeruzalem Ormož	31:31 ✺
05.09.26	Škofja Loka - Krka	29:34 ✺
02.09.26	Krka - Gorenje Velenje	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTWW
- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
26.09.26	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	28:28 ✺
20.09.26	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	27:30 ✺
12.09.26	Slovenj Gradec - Slovan Ljubljana	23:28 ✺
05.09.26	Trimo Trebnje - Slovenj Gradec	32:32 ✺
02.09.26	Slovenj Gradec - Škofljica	34:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
20.12.25	Slovenj Gradec - Krka	32:27
04.10.25	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	28:27
24.05.25	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	33:24
17.05.25	Slovenj Gradec - Krka	27:26
08.02.25	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	32:28
11.10.24	Slovenj Gradec - Krka	27:31
18.05.24	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	31:26

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