Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Lübeck-Schwartau		Ferndorf

	1	X	2
	1.47	9.2	3.2
	1.45	7.94	3.51	Watch
	1.47	9.3	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.39)	8.81 ↑ (7.82)	3.36 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck-Schwartau
62.4%

Draw
10.4%

Ferndorf
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

11.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

11.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck-Schwartau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck-Schwartau than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lübeck Schwartau - Ferndorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lübeck-Schwartau will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lübeck-Schwartau won 3.

Recent performances by Lübeck-Schwartau have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferndorf has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lübeck-Schwartau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lübeck-Schwartau is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lübeck-Schwartau won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 306:304. (average 25.5:25.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lübeck-Schwartau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 159:152. (average 26.5:25.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Lubeck-Schwartau	6	5	0	1	205:170	10
8	Ferndorf	6	3	0	3	184:174	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Lübeck-Schwartau
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
10.04.26	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Lübeck-Schwartau	24:35 ✺
02.04.26	Lübeck-Schwartau - Nordhorn-Lingen	29:24 ✺
29.03.26	HSC 2000 Coburg - Lübeck-Schwartau	40:34 ✺
14.03.26	Lübeck-Schwartau - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	27:31 ✺
06.03.26	Hüttenberg - Lübeck-Schwartau	32:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLW
- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
10.04.26	Ferndorf - Elbflorenz	28:31 ✺
04.04.26	Potsdam - Ferndorf	30:30 ✺
28.03.26	Ferndorf - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	24:32 ✺
14.03.26	Bietigheim - Ferndorf	39:28 ✺
07.03.26	Ferndorf - Dessau-Roßlauer	27:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
14.11.25	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:28
04.05.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - Ferndorf	24:29
23.03.22	Lübeck-Schwartau - Ferndorf	30:32
25.09.21	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:28
02.05.21	Lübeck-Schwartau - Ferndorf	29:24
30.04.21	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:23
14.12.19	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	23:19

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