Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Montpellier HB		PPD Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.27	10	5.5	Watch
	1.22	12.5	5.75
	1.26	10.54	5.16	Watch
	1.22	9.5	4.6
	1.3	10.2	4.89	Watch
	1.3	11	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)	10.62 ↑ (8.92)	5.13 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier HB
73.3%

Draw
8.7%

PPD Zagreb
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

10.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

10.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier HB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montpellier HB's performance.

PPD Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montpellier HB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PPD Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PPD Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Montpellier HB - PPD Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Zagreb will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:25

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Lineups


71. Berthier A.	6. Cavar D.
12. Bolzinger C.	27. Cupic I.
92. Desbonnet R.	31. Dibirov T.
17. Fernandez J.	8. Faljic A.
25. Guigon L.	71. Glavas F.
2. Karlsson S.	10. Gojun J.
22. Konan K.	12. Grbavac A.
19. Lenne A.	18. Horvat Z.
32. Lenne Y.	47. Kavcic A.
26. Monte B.	9. Klarica L.
93. Nacinovic V.	5. Kos M.
10. Pellas L.	25. Mandic M.
28. Porte V.	23. Sirotic K.
21. Prat K.	11. Srna Z.
4. Simonet D.	95. Suholeznik M.
20. Skube S.	7. Walczak P.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 27-27.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Zagreb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montpellier is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 76-72.

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HB
French Starligue Handball
30.03.24	Montpellier HB - Chartres	39:36 ✺
EHF Champions League
27.03.24	PPD Zagreb - Montpellier HB	27:27 ✺
French Starligue Handball
24.03.24	Creteil - Montpellier HB	26:35 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
20.03.24	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	32:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
10.03.24	Montpellier HB - Limoges	36:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWLW
- RK PPD Zagreb
EHF Champions League
27.03.24	PPD Zagreb - Montpellier HB	27:27 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
22.03.24	PPD Zagreb - Porec	43:35 ✺
EHF Champions League
06.03.24	THW Kiel - PPD Zagreb	33:22 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
02.03.24	Varazdin - PPD Zagreb	23:35 ✺
EHF Champions League
29.02.24	PPD Zagreb - Paris Saint-Germain	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
27.03.24	PPD Zagreb - Montpellier HB	27:27
01.12.21	Montpellier HB - PPD Zagreb	24:23
27.10.21	PPD Zagreb - Montpellier HB	22:25

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