Match Info
Coupe de France - Semi-finalsDate: 15 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Palais des sports René-Bougnol (Montpellier)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | beIN Sports 1 |
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Montpellier HB |
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Paris Saint-Germain |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.5 |
8 |
1.75 |
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 |
2.33 |
7.6 |
1.86 |
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 |
2.39 |
6.99 |
1.88 |
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 |
2.25 |
7.5 |
1.83 |
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2.37 |
8.8 |
1.82 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (2.3) |
7.78 ↓ (8) |
1.83 ↓ (1.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montpellier HB 38.5% | Draw 11.7% | Paris Saint-Germain 49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Montpellier HB - Paris Saint Germain Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.Recent performances by Montpellier have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).PSG is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 590:649. (average 29.5:32.5).Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 312:316. (average 31.2:31.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;