Match Info

Date: 12 May 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Montpellier HB		Vive Kielce

	1	X	2
	3.2	8.5	1.57	Watch
	3	10	1.57
	3.35	9	1.52
	3.1	9.2	1.54
	3.3	9	1.5
	3.44	8.4	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.65)	9.02 ↑ (8.36)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier HB
28.9%

Draw
10.4%

Vive Kielce
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

11.1%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

10.7%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier HB's form might have worsened.

Vive Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vive Kielce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montpellier HB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vive Kielce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	6.7%	76.7%

Montpellier HB - Vive Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Kielce will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kielce: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 4.

Recent matches Montpellier is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vive Kielce in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Vive Kielce is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vive Kielce to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 277-283.

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 136-142.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HB
French Starligue Handball
06.05.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB	37:33 ✺
29.04.22	Montpellier HB - Nancy	33:27 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
21.04.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB	41:24 ✺
French Starligue Handball
09.04.22	Saint-Raphael - Montpellier HB	36:38 ✺
EHF Champions League
06.04.22	Montpellier HB - Porto	35:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
05.05.22	Vive Kielce - Piotrkowianin Piotrków	39:21 ✺
29.04.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Vive Kielce	24:32 ✺
23.04.22	Vive Kielce - Unia Tarnów	51:19 ✺
09.04.22	Stal Mielec - Vive Kielce	30:41 ✺
Polish Cup Handball
06.04.22	Vive Kielce - Kalisz	37:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
08.02.20	Montpellier HB - Vive Kielce	25:24
12.10.19	Vive Kielce - Montpellier HB	27:29
16.02.19	Vive Kielce - Montpellier HB	27:28
30.09.18	Montpellier HB - Vive Kielce	26:29
02.04.17	Vive Kielce - Montpellier HB	26:28
26.03.17	Montpellier HB - Vive Kielce	33:28
28.02.16	Montpellier HB - Vive Kielce	27:32

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