Match Info

Starligue - Round 28

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 2


	Saint-Raphael		Montpellier HB

	1	X	2
	3.4	8.5	1.52
	3.35	9.8	1.43	Watch
	3.83	8.1	1.41	Watch
	3.75	8.5	1.36
	3.41	9.5	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.81)	8.88 ↓ (10.18)	1.44 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Raphael
25.8%

Draw
10.3%

Montpellier HB
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

8.7%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Raphael has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Raphael than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Saint Raphael - Montpellier HB Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Raphael won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Saint-Raphael has had a series of away games.

In this match, Montpellier is the team to beat.

We predict that Montpellier will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Raphael won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 581:655. (average 29.1:32.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Raphael won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 307:335. (average 30.7:33.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173:146	7
12	St. Raphael	6	2	0	4	176:190	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint-Raphael Var HB
French Starligue Handball
08.05.26	Fenix Toulouse - Saint-Raphael	27:36 ✺
01.05.26	Dunkerque - Saint-Raphael	22:32 ✺
26.04.26	Saint-Raphael - Selestat AHB	31:28 ✺
17.04.26	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	26:31 ✺
12.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Raphael	36:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWL
- Montpellier HB
Coupe de France Handball
23.05.26	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	27:24 ✺
French Starligue Handball
08.05.26	Montpellier HB - Cesson Rennes Métropole	36:34 ✺
EHF European League
05.05.26	Vardar - Montpellier HB	27:24 ✺
French Starligue Handball
01.05.26	Dijon - Montpellier HB	28:38 ✺
EHF European League
28.04.26	Montpellier HB - Vardar	33:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
19.12.25	Montpellier HB - Saint-Raphael	44:34
04.04.25	Saint-Raphael - Montpellier HB	28:30
06.09.24	Montpellier HB - Saint-Raphael	31:18
06.04.24	Saint-Raphael - Montpellier HB	38:42
18.11.23	Montpellier HB - Saint-Raphael	35:35
03.03.23	Saint-Raphael - Montpellier HB	34:38
Coupe de France Handball
03.02.23	Saint-Raphael - Montpellier HB	36:39

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