Match Info

SPAIN: Liga ASOBAL - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Pabellón Municipal O Gatañal (Cangas do Morrazo)


	Morrazo Cangas		Anaitasuna

	1	X	2
	1.45	9.5	3.8
	1.42	10.5	3.6
	1.42	9.6	3.45
	1.44	9.3	3.73	Watch
	1.4	9.5	3.4
	1.44	9	3.7
	1.42	9.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	9.57 ↑ (8.63)	3.59 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morrazo Cangas
64.7%

Draw
9.6%

Anaitasuna
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

10.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

10.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morrazo Cangas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Anaitasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morrazo Cangas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morrazo Cangas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Morrazo Cangas - Anaitasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cangas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Lineups


74. Abdelaziz O.	30. Albizu A.
2. Abdelsadek M.	16. Cancio M.
9. Diaz Ledo A.	35. Castro P.
19. Fernandez A.	13. Duo A.
25. Fodorean R.	44. Elustondo J.
21. Gallardo J.	47. Fernandez D.
16. Garcias M.	7. Ganuza M.
14. Gayo M.	15. Goni E.
4. Gonzalez B.	24. Itoiz P.
24. Iglesias J.	33. Kisselev O.
44. Lopez S.	8. Moreno A.
20. Perez J.	61. Moreno M.
10. Quintas J.	11. Pereiro S.
11. Rio R.	19. Redondo Vera M.
6. Thymann M.	18. Unciti X.
18. Toth R.	91. Zungri N.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Liga ASOBAL (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangas won 4.

Recent matches Cangas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Anaitasuna is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cangas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cangas is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cangas won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 521:557 (average 26.1:27.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Cangas won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 268:268 (average 26.8:26.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morrazo Cangas
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.12.24	Benidorm - Morrazo Cangas	38:37 ✺
15.12.24	Morrazo Cangas - BM Granollers	38:36 ✺
07.12.24	Quabit Guadalajara - Morrazo Cangas	31:37 ✺
30.11.24	Morrazo Cangas - Nava	34:35 ✺
23.11.24	Morrazo Cangas - BM Ciudad Encantada	36:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLW
- Helvetia Anaitasuna
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.12.24	Anaitasuna - Torrelavega	29:33 ✺
14.12.24	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	26:25 ✺
08.12.24	Anaitasuna - Bidasoa Irun	28:29 ✺
01.12.24	BM Huesca - Anaitasuna	35:40 ✺
23.11.24	Anaitasuna - Barcelona	31:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.03.24	Anaitasuna - Morrazo Cangas	32:29
07.10.23	Morrazo Cangas - Anaitasuna	32:31
09.04.23	Morrazo Cangas - Anaitasuna	30:25
05.11.22	Anaitasuna - Morrazo Cangas	24:25
20.04.22	Morrazo Cangas - Anaitasuna	25:24
30.10.21	Anaitasuna - Morrazo Cangas	29:33
19.05.21	Morrazo Cangas - Anaitasuna	21:20

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