Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 14

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Morrazo Cangas		Caserio Ciudad Real

	1	X	2
	1.67	8	2.9	Watch
	1.7	8.2	2.55
	1.72	7.48	2.65	Watch
	1.67	8.5	2.5
	1.68	8.9	2.66	Watch
	1.68	10	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	8.51 ↓ (9.09)	2.65 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morrazo Cangas
54.5%

Draw
10.8%

Caserio Ciudad Real
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

10.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

11.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morrazo Cangas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Caserio Ciudad Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morrazo Cangas than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morrazo Cangas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caserio Ciudad Real, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morrazo Cangas - Caserio Ciudad Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 8).

Cangas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Caserio Ciudad Real has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cangas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cangas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cangas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 39:36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morrazo Cangas
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.12.25	Bidasoa Irun - Morrazo Cangas	30:27 ✺
06.12.25	Morrazo Cangas - BM Granollers	27:33 ✺
29.11.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Morrazo Cangas	31:31 ✺
22.11.25	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	28:25 ✺
15.11.25	Morrazo Cangas - Atlético Valladolid	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.12.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Villa de Aranda	22:19 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Valladolid - Caserio Ciudad Real	34:30 ✺
29.11.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - EÓN Alicante	33:23 ✺
22.11.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Caserio Ciudad Real	38:35 ✺
14.11.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Torrelavega	29:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.03.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Morrazo Cangas	36:39

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