Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 10

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Villa de Aranda		Morrazo Cangas

	1	X	2
	1.42	9	4	Watch
	1.49	9.2	3.15
	1.55	7.70	2.88	Watch
	1.46	9.5	3.41	Watch
	1.46	10	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	9.08 ↑ (7.7)	3.39 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
62.6%

Draw
10.2%

Morrazo Cangas
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

11.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

11%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa de Aranda's performance.

Morrazo Cangas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morrazo Cangas than the current prediction. (+2%)

Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Villa de Aranda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villa de Aranda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 432:440. (average 27:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa de Aranda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 222:218. (average 27.8:27.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
16.11.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Villa de Aranda	24:22 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Valladolid - Villa de Aranda	36:30 ✺
25.10.25	Villa de Aranda - EÓN Alicante	30:26 ✺
19.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	42:30 ✺
11.10.25	Villa de Aranda - Torrelavega	31:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Morrazo Cangas
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
15.11.25	Morrazo Cangas - Atlético Valladolid	29:30 ✺
07.11.25	EÓN Alicante - Morrazo Cangas	34:24 ✺
26.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:30 ✺
18.10.25	Torrelavega - Morrazo Cangas	28:30 ✺
11.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Quabit Guadalajara	29:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
02.03.25	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	29:27
06.10.24	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	27:24
27.02.21	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	23:24
19.09.20	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	22:22
29.04.17	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	28:31
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
18.03.17	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	26:22
15.03.17	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	26:23

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