Match Info

Herre Handbold Ligaen - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Mors-Thy		Tvis Holstebro

	1	X	2
	1.52	9	3.4
	1.55	9.2	3.05
	1.51	7.76	3.3	Watch
	1.5	8	3
	1.57	9.2	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.47)	8.63 ↓ (9.31)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mors-Thy
60.1%

Draw
10.7%

Tvis Holstebro
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

9.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

9.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mors-Thy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tvis Holstebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Mors-Thy aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tvis Holstebro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mors Thy - Tvis Holstebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mors won 1.

In recent matches, Mors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Holstebro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mors is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mors won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 582:608. (average 29.1:30.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mors won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 279:270. (average 31:30).

Outrights of Danish Handbold Ligaen for now

Mors: 0.82% Holstebro: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Holstebro	9	3	1	5	278:284	7
11	Mors	8	3	0	5	243:256	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mors-Thy Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
28.03.26	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	33:31 ✺
25.03.26	Mors-Thy - Grindsted	35:31 ✺
14.03.26	Aalborg - Mors-Thy	33:26 ✺
07.03.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	37:38 ✺
25.02.26	Skjern - Mors-Thy	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW
- Tvis Holstebro
Danish Handbold Ligaen
28.03.26	Tvis Holstebro - Skanderborg	35:35 ✺
25.03.26	Ringsted - Tvis Holstebro	30:31 ✺
12.03.26	Tvis Holstebro - Bjerringbro SV	36:33 ✺
07.03.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	37:38 ✺
26.02.26	Tvis Holstebro - Ribe-Esbjerg	31:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.03.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	37:38
05.11.25	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	41:33
11.12.24	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	31:31
12.09.24	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	34:34
20.02.24	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	34:35
14.10.23	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	30:26
20.04.23	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	22:24

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