Match Info

Herre Handbold Ligaen - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport


	Mors-Thy		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	1.55	9	3.3	Watch
	1.68	7.8	2.8
	1.64	8.86	2.67	Watch
	1.61	9.1	2.84
	1.68	8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	8.55 ↓ (8.86)	2.89 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mors-Thy
57%

Draw
10.9%

Fredericia
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

10.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

10.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mors-Thy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mors-Thy than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Mors Thy - Fredericia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mors won 2.

Mors is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Fredericia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fredericia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mors might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mors won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 507:471. (average 31.7:29.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mors won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 229:196. (average 32.7:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mors-Thy Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
15.11.25	Grindsted - Mors-Thy	26:36 ✺
08.11.25	Mors-Thy - Aalborg	27:33 ✺
05.11.25	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	41:33 ✺
24.10.25	Mors-Thy - Skjern	33:33 ✺
19.10.25	GOG - Mors-Thy	39:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLTL
- Fredericia Håndbold
EHF European League
18.11.25	Fredericia - Tatran Prešov	38:30 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
15.11.25	Fredericia - Ribe-Esbjerg	32:34 ✺
EHF European League
11.11.25	Tatran Prešov - Fredericia	27:34 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
08.11.25	HØJ - Fredericia	34:26 ✺
05.11.25	Sønderjysk Elite - Fredericia	27:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
30.03.25	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	32:35
03.11.24	Mors-Thy - Fredericia	33:33
12.12.23	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	25:25
17.09.23	Mors-Thy - Fredericia	25:24
25.02.23	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	36:25
20.10.22	Mors-Thy - Fredericia	37:24
22.05.22	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	35:34

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