Match Info

Herre Handbold Ligaen - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Tvis Holstebro		Mors-Thy

	1	X	2
	2.3	8.5	1.95
	2.08	7.8	2.12
	2.11	6.74	2.13	Watch
	2	7.5	2.1
	2.05	8.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.87)	7.85 ↓ (9.69)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tvis Holstebro
43.7%

Draw
11.7%

Mors-Thy
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

9.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

9.4%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tvis Holstebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tvis Holstebro's form might have worsened.

Mors-Thy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tvis Holstebro than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mors-Thy than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tvis Holstebro - Mors Thy Predictions

Users Predictions: Mors-Thy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstebro won 2.

Recent form of Holstebro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Holstebro won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 607:593. (average 30.4:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstebro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 306:281. (average 30.6:28.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Holstebro	9	3	1	5	278:284	7
11	Mors	9	3	0	6	267:290	6

Last Results with these Odds

Tvis Holstebro - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tvis Holstebro
Danish Handbold Ligaen
23.04.26	Bjerringbro SV - Tvis Holstebro	33:32 ✺
19.04.26	Tvis Holstebro - Skanderborg	30:37 ✺
12.04.26	Tvis Holstebro - Bjerringbro SV	37:34 ✺
06.04.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	33:31 ✺
28.03.26	Tvis Holstebro - Skanderborg	35:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT
- Mors-Thy Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
23.04.26	Mors-Thy - Skanderborg	35:29 ✺
19.04.26	Bjerringbro SV - Mors-Thy	30:34 ✺
12.04.26	Skanderborg - Mors-Thy	36:36 ✺
06.04.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	33:31 ✺
28.03.26	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
06.04.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	33:31
07.03.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	37:38
05.11.25	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	41:33
11.12.24	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	31:31
12.09.24	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	34:34
20.02.24	Tvis Holstebro - Mors-Thy	34:35
14.10.23	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	30:26

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