Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 20

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Naturhouse La Rioja		Atlético Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.4	9.5	4.25
	1.42	10	3.6
	1.44	9.6	3.35
	1.4	8.2	3.92	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.5
	1.43	9.6	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	9.23 ↑ (9.17)	3.7 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naturhouse La Rioja
65.1%

Draw
10%

Atlético Valladolid
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

9.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

9.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Atlético Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Naturhouse La Rioja - Atlético Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

#ad

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 3.

Recent performances by La Rioja have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Valladolid has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Valladolid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, La Rioja is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 620:581. (average 31:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, La Rioja won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 309:275. (average 30.9:27.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Atl. Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139:118	8
3	La Rioja	5	4	0	1	175:172	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
01.03.26	EÓN Alicante - Naturhouse La Rioja	31:29 ✺
20.02.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Ciudad Encantada	32:31 ✺
14.02.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Torrelavega	30:29 ✺
11.02.26	Quabit Guadalajara - Naturhouse La Rioja	32:36 ✺
Spanish Copa de Espana Handball
07.02.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Atlético Valladolid	22:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.02.26	Atlético Valladolid - Torrelavega	27:29 ✺
22.02.26	Quabit Guadalajara - Atlético Valladolid	31:25 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético Valladolid - Barcelona	28:39 ✺
11.02.26	BM Huesca - Atlético Valladolid	30:30 ✺
Spanish Copa de Espana Handball
08.02.26	Atlético Valladolid - Barcelona	24:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa de Espana Handball
07.02.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Atlético Valladolid	22:27
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.10.25	Atlético Valladolid - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:34
05.04.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Atlético Valladolid	34:27
01.11.24	Atlético Valladolid - Naturhouse La Rioja	40:40
23.03.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Atlético Valladolid	28:25
21.10.23	Atlético Valladolid - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:25
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
06.05.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Atlético Valladolid	29:27

Upcoming Matches