Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 16

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Quabit Guadalajara		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	5.5	11	1.27
	4.2	11	1.3
	5.18	9.03	1.27	Watch
	4.33	10	1.25
	4.43	10.7	1.31	Watch
	4.75	11	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.27)	10.46 ↑ (10.19)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quabit Guadalajara
19.5%

Draw
8.8%

Naturhouse La Rioja
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quabit Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Quabit Guadalajara - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Rioja will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Rioja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:34

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Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0.

La Rioja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, La Rioja is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 529:632. (average 26.5:31.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 233:273. (average 25.9:30.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	La Rioja	5	4	0	1	175:172	8

Last Results with these Odds

Naturhouse La Rioja - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 69.67%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quabit Guadalajara
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.12.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Torrelavega	30:44 ✺
16.12.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Quabit Guadalajara	33:33 ✺
13.12.25	Barcelona - Quabit Guadalajara	40:20 ✺
07.12.25	Quabit Guadalajara - BM Huesca	36:30 ✺
28.11.25	Nava - Quabit Guadalajara	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTLWW
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Copa de Espana Handball
07.02.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Atlético Valladolid	22:27 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.12.25	Barcelona - Naturhouse La Rioja	43:30 ✺
18.12.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Huesca	33:28 ✺
14.12.25	Nava - Naturhouse La Rioja	21:17 ✺
06.12.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	33:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.09.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	34:30
01.03.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	39:32
06.10.24	Quabit Guadalajara - Naturhouse La Rioja	22:32
13.05.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	32:29
20.11.22	Quabit Guadalajara - Naturhouse La Rioja	24:24
31.03.21	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	35:27
16.12.20	Quabit Guadalajara - Naturhouse La Rioja	21:32

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