Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA ASOBAL - ROUND 6

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Nava		Alser Puerto Sagunto

	1	X	2
	1.37	9.5	4.25	Watch
	1.36	10.5	4	Watch
	1.36	9.65	4.11
	1.3	9	4
	1.41	9.2	3.88	Watch
	1.34	10	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	9.64 ↑ (8.4)	4.06 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nava
67.8%

Draw
9.5%

Alser Puerto Sagunto
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

11%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

11.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alser Puerto Sagunto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nava than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alser Puerto Sagunto than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nava won 3.

Recent matches Nava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puerto Sagunto is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nava is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nava won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 223-207.

Including matches at home between the teams Nava won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 126-108.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.10.23	BM Huesca - Nava	35:28 ✺
30.09.23	Nava - Morrazo Cangas	29:29 ✺
23.09.23	Reale Ademar - Nava	34:34 ✺
17.09.23	Nava - BM Sinfín	32:25 ✺
08.09.23	BM Granollers - Nava	37:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTWL
- Alser Puerto Sagunto
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.10.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Benidorm	24:27 ✺
29.09.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Alser Puerto Sagunto	37:27 ✺
23.09.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Naturhouse La Rioja	24:22 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Valladolid - Alser Puerto Sagunto	33:26 ✺
09.09.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Torrelavega	20:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.05.23	Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto	36:32
22.04.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava	25:24
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.05.21	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava	27:25
06.12.20	Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto	29:27
29.02.20	Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto	28:23
28.09.19	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava	25:25
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
26.01.19	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava	22:23

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