Match Info

Starligue - Round 28

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday


	Pays dAix		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.8	8	2.7
	1.64	8.2	2.7	Watch
	1.62	7.84	2.87
	1.67	7.5	2.63
	1.73	8.8	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	8.07 ↓ (8.58)	2.69 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pays dAix
54.4%

Draw
11.4%

Fenix Toulouse
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

10.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

11.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pays dAix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pays dAix than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pays dAix - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Pays dAix will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pays dAix won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Toulouse has had a series of home games.

Pays dAix could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pays dAix won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 570:585. (average 28.5:29.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pays dAix won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 233:237. (average 29.1:29.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Provence Aix	6	3	0	3	194:189	6
13	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140:141	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pays dAix Handball
French Starligue Handball
09.05.26	Pays dAix - Tremblay	30:31 ✺
02.05.26	Limoges - Pays dAix	30:27 ✺
24.04.26	Montpellier HB - Pays dAix	29:33 ✺
17.04.26	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	26:31 ✺
10.04.26	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	35:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LLWLW
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
08.05.26	Fenix Toulouse - Saint-Raphael	27:36 ✺
01.05.26	Fenix Toulouse - Tremblay	40:35 ✺
25.04.26	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	28:39 ✺
17.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - Dijon	27:24 ✺
12.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	25:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
03.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Pays dAix	25:29
15.02.25	Pays dAix - Fenix Toulouse	31:29
19.10.24	Fenix Toulouse - Pays dAix	33:31
17.05.24	Pays dAix - Fenix Toulouse	34:39
13.10.23	Fenix Toulouse - Pays dAix	33:26
18.02.23	Fenix Toulouse - Pays dAix	29:25
21.10.22	Pays dAix - Fenix Toulouse	26:25

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