Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Round 3

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Pavilhão Dragão Arena (Porto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Porto		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	3.1	8.5	1.5	Watch
	3.2	9	1.47	Watch
	3.18	8.77	1.52
	3	9.5	1.55
	3.1	8.4	1.55	Watch
	3.2	9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.85)	8.86 ↑ (8.66)	1.51 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
29.2%

Draw
10.3%

THW Kiel
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

10.5%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and THW Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Porto - THW Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Lineups


12. Abrahamsson S.	23. Dahmke R.
86. Brandao R.	71. Ellefsen E.
19. Diocou M.	91. Imre B.
21. Fernandes L.	21. Johansson E.
8. Fernandez D.	25. Kutz L.
28. Ferreira J.	7. Landin M.
5. Gunnarsson T.	45. Madsen E.
88. Magalhaes F.	16. Mrkva T.
10. Oliveira D.	11. Overby P.
9. Oliveira M.	61. Pekeler H.
71. Oliveira P.	6. Reinkind H.
33. Rema D.	17. Wiencek P.
15. Salina D.	33. Wolff A.
20. Salvador V.	24. Zerbe L.
14. Sousa R.
2. Veitia P.

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kiel is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 131:150 (average 26.2:30).

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 56:61 (average 28:30.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
22.02.25	Porto - Marítimo	39:26 ✺
EHF European League
18.02.25	THW Kiel - Porto	32:22 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
15.02.25	ABC Braga - Porto	22:31 ✺
EHF European League
11.02.25	Porto - RK Vojvodina	29:20 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
08.02.25	Porto - Belenenses	41:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
20.02.25	THW Kiel - Erlangen	28:24 ✺
EHF European League
18.02.25	THW Kiel - Porto	32:22 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
16.02.25	HSG Wetzlar - THW Kiel	27:25 ✺
EHF European League
11.02.25	MT Melsungen - THW Kiel	26:26 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
08.02.25	THW Kiel - Magdeburg	31:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
18.02.25	THW Kiel - Porto	32:22
EHF Champions League
13.11.19	Porto - THW Kiel	29:30
10.11.19	THW Kiel - Porto	27:28
19.02.14	THW Kiel - Porto	30:25
12.10.13	Porto - THW Kiel	27:31

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