Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Relegation - Final

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Polideportivo David Santamaria (Guadalajara)


	Quabit Guadalajara		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.27	10	5.5
	1.3	12	4.4
	1.26	11	4.6
	1.3	9.94	4.97
	1.3	10	4
	1.3	12	4.5	Watch
	1.26	11	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.43)	10.85 ↑ (8.77)	4.65 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quabit Guadalajara
71.7%

Draw
8.5%

Burgos
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

10.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

11%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quabit Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quabit Guadalajara's performance.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quabit Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Quabit Guadalajara - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:26

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Lineups


21. Arribas J.	32. Albero F.
9. Catalina M.	19. Asensi J.
19. Chiuffa F.	7. Blanco A.
29. Dorado M.	27. Casanova F.
36. Forns G.	1. Garcia J.
32. Gonzalez N.	10. Gonzalez J.
7. Gorostidi H.	22. Ibanez E.
77. Jodar J.	78. Lopez C.
23. Llorens M.	35. Martins P.
5. Lombardi F.	15. Moreira T.
24. Mielczarski P.	21. Moya J.
4. Paredes V.	11. Perez P.
13. Pina O.	64. Sanchez A.
52. Serradilla A.	24. Velazquez J.
39. Simon S.
47. Sladkowski J.

Preview

1st leg result: 20-24. 2nd leg.

Recent form of Guadalajara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burgos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Burgos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Burgos has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 136:134. (average 27.2:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 62:57. (average 31:28.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Quabit Guadalajara - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quabit Guadalajara
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
04.06.25	Burgos - Quabit Guadalajara	24:20 ✺
01.06.25	BM Granollers - Quabit Guadalajara	39:33 ✺
25.05.25	Quabit Guadalajara - BM Ciudad Encantada	32:29 ✺
17.05.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Nava	31:31 ✺
04.05.25	Morrazo Cangas - Quabit Guadalajara	32:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWTL
- BM Burgos
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
04.06.25	Burgos - Quabit Guadalajara	24:20 ✺
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
24.05.25	Burgos - BM Sinfín	36:29 ✺
17.05.25	Burgos - EÓN Alicante	32:35 ✺
03.05.25	Lanzarote - Burgos	21:29 ✺
27.04.25	Burgos - Cisne	36:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
04.06.25	Burgos - Quabit Guadalajara	24:20
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
28.04.24	Burgos - Quabit Guadalajara	26:27
10.12.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Burgos	29:30
12.02.22	Quabit Guadalajara - Burgos	33:27
21.11.21	Burgos - Quabit Guadalajara	27:27

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