Match Info

Starligue - Round 14

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Saint-Raphael		Pays dAix

	1	X	2
	1.5	8.5	3.5
	1.51	9.4	3
	1.52	7.88	3.24
	1.44	8	3.2
	1.54	9.3	3.07	Watch
	1.5	8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.35)	8.51 ↓ (10.35)	3.29 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Raphael
61.3%

Draw
10.8%

Pays dAix
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

8.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

8.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Raphael has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Raphael's form might have worsened.

Pays dAix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Raphael than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Raphael, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pays dAix than the current prediction. (-5%)

Saint Raphael - Pays dAix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Raphael won 4.

Saint-Raphael is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pays dAix has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Saint-Raphael may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saint-Raphael is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Raphael won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 605:564. (average 30.3:28.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Raphael won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 306:295. (average 30.6:29.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint-Raphael Var HB
French Starligue Handball
06.12.25	Saint-Raphael - Dunkerque	35:27 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	Potaissa Turda - Saint-Raphael	25:34 ✺
French Starligue Handball
28.11.25	Chartres - Saint-Raphael	24:24 ✺
EHF European League
25.11.25	Saint-Raphael - Flensburg-Handewitt	29:36 ✺
French Starligue Handball
22.11.25	Saint-Raphael - Istres OPH	35:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTLW
- Pays dAix Handball
Coupe de France Handball
09.12.25	Frontignan Thau - Pays dAix	25:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
05.12.25	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	32:26 ✺
29.11.25	Selestat AHB - Pays dAix	24:31 ✺
23.11.25	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	34:28 ✺
14.11.25	Pays dAix - Limoges	30:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
23.03.25	Saint-Raphael - Pays dAix	38:27
25.10.24	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	24:29
25.04.24	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	28:27
12.11.23	Saint-Raphael - Pays dAix	29:28
17.03.23	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	24:28
21.12.22	Saint-Raphael - Pays dAix	31:34
05.03.22	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	25:29

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