Match Info

Proligue - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Sarrebourg		Valence

	1	X	2
	2.75	9	1.6
	2.74	7.54	1.66	Watch
	2.63	8.5	1.62
	2.62	9.5	1.67	Watch
	2.75	8.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.93)	8.61 ↓ (10.38)	1.63 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrebourg
33.7%

Draw
10.6%

Valence
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

8.6%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

8.5%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarrebourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Valence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valence might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrebourg than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valence than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarrebourg - Valence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarrebourg won 3.

Sarrebourg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valence is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sarrebourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Valence will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Valence will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarrebourg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 286:278. (average 28.6:27.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarrebourg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 142:135. (average 28.4:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sarrebourg
French Proligue Handball
28.11.25	Besançon - Sarrebourg	31:29 ✺
22.11.25	Sarrebourg - Saintes	26:25 ✺
14.11.25	Pontault-Combault - Sarrebourg	39:33 ✺
08.11.25	Sarrebourg - Saran Loiret	27:37 ✺
24.10.25	Caen - Sarrebourg	42:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Valence Handball
French Proligue Handball
28.11.25	Valence - Frontignan Thau	26:24 ✺
14.11.25	Cherbourg - Valence	25:26 ✺
07.11.25	Valence - Besançon	29:27 ✺
24.10.25	Creteil - Valence	33:35 ✺
17.10.25	Valence - Saran Loiret	28:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
07.02.25	Valence - Sarrebourg	24:25
12.10.24	Sarrebourg - Valence	25:24
17.05.24	Sarrebourg - Valence	30:32
15.09.23	Valence - Sarrebourg	35:34
01.04.23	Sarrebourg - Valence	28:27
23.09.22	Valence - Sarrebourg	25:28
29.04.22	Valence - Sarrebourg	29:33

Sarrebourg - Valence: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide