Match Info

Proligue - Round 12

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Valence		Frontignan Thau

	1	X	2
	1.42	9.8	3.4
	1.51	10.2	3.07	Watch
	1.41	9.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	9.83 ↑ (9.25)	3.27 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valence
62.9%

Draw
9.3%

Frontignan Thau
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

9.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

9.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Frontignan Thau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valence than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frontignan Thau than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frontignan Thau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valence - Frontignan Thau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valence won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Frontignan Thau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valence is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Valence won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 169:197. (average 28.2:32.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Valence won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 82:95. (average 27.3:31.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valence Handball
French Proligue Handball
14.11.25	Cherbourg - Valence	25:26 ✺
07.11.25	Valence - Besançon	29:27 ✺
24.10.25	Creteil - Valence	33:35 ✺
17.10.25	Valence - Saran Loiret	28:35 ✺
09.10.25	Caen - Valence	37:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL
- Frontignan Thau Handball
French Proligue Handball
21.11.25	Frontignan Thau - Besançon	29:31 ✺
14.11.25	Caen - Frontignan Thau	39:37 ✺
07.11.25	Frontignan Thau - Creteil	33:32 ✺
24.10.25	Cherbourg - Frontignan Thau	37:36 ✺
17.10.25	Frontignan Thau - Angers	37:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
21.03.25	Frontignan Thau - Valence	41:36
01.11.24	Valence - Frontignan Thau	29:33
10.04.24	Valence - Frontignan Thau	28:37
09.09.23	Frontignan Thau - Valence	28:25
21.04.23	Frontignan Thau - Valence	33:26
07.10.22	Valence - Frontignan Thau	25:25

Valence - Frontignan Thau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide