Match Info

Division de Honor Women - Play Out - Round 6

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Sporting La Rioja		La Calzada

	1	X	2
	1.42	8	3.6
	1.41	11	3.35
	1.42	9.9	3.56
	1.38	9.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	9.6 ↑ (8)	3.48 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting La Rioja
64.5%

Draw
9.5%

La Calzada
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

11.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

11.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting La Rioja than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sporting La Rioja - La Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Preview

Sporting La Rioja is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

La Calzada has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sporting La Rioja is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting La Rioja won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 101:111. (average 20.2:22.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting La Rioja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:45. (average 21:22.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting La Rioja
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
24.05.25	Elda Prestigia - Sporting La Rioja	16:19 ✺
21.05.25	Morvedre - Sporting La Rioja	22:22 ✺
17.05.25	La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja	23:20 ✺
14.05.25	Sporting La Rioja - Elda Prestigia	21:20 ✺
10.05.25	Sporting La Rioja - Morvedre	20:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLWW
- BM La Calzada
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
24.05.25	La Calzada - Morvedre	22:22 ✺
21.05.25	Elda Prestigia - La Calzada	26:24 ✺
17.05.25	La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja	23:20 ✺
14.05.25	Morvedre - La Calzada	19:19 ✺
10.05.25	La Calzada - Elda Prestigia	16:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
17.05.25	La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja	23:20
23.03.25	Sporting La Rioja - La Calzada	19:21
02.11.24	La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja	17:19
15.04.23	La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja	26:20
17.01.23	Sporting La Rioja - La Calzada	23:24

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