Match Info
Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 9 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Orlen Arena (Płock)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Eurosport 1 |
Portugal | Sporting TV |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
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Wisła Płock |
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Sporting Lisbon |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wisła Płock 54.3% | Draw 11.3% | Sporting Lisbon 34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Płock's performance.Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Płock that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32 
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Lineups
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32. Alilovic M.
| 5. Alvarez C.
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3. Daszek M.
| 92. Aly M.
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33. Dawydzik D.
| 3. Berlin E.
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24. Fazekas G.
| 22. Branquinho D.
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43. Ilic Z.
| 6. Costa F.
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8. Janc M.
| 79. Costa M.
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99. Kosorotov S.
| 19. Gassama M.
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26. Krajewski P.
| 8. Gurri J.
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34. Mihic L.
| 20. Kristensen A.
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22. Richardson M.
| 9. Martinez P.
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21. Samoila K.
| 44. Moga C.
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17. Serdio A.
| 2. Oliviera E.
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1. Sittrup-Bergerud T.
| 13. Rocha S.
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19. Susnja L.
| 93. Romero V.
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49. Szita Z.
| 7. Suarez N.
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23. Zarabec M.
| 17. Thorkelsson O.
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Preview
First leg result: 29-33. Second leg.Wisła Płock is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Sporting is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 141:149. (average 28.2:29.8).Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 54:57. (average 27:28.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| EHF Champions League | | | 02.04.26 | Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock | 33:29 | | 06.03.25 | Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon | 29:29 | | 11.09.24 | Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock | 34:29 | | EHF European League | | | 30.03.21 | Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon | 25:28 | | 23.03.21 | Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock | 25:29 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;