Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sporting Lisbon		Bidasoa Irun

	1	X	2
	1.25	10	5	Watch
	1.22	13.5	5.5
	1.23	11.5	5.6
	1.2	13	5
	1.27	11	5.1	Watch
	1.22	15	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)	12.33 ↑ (10)	5.18 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
74.8%

Draw
7.5%

Bidasoa Irun
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

9.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

9.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Bidasoa Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sporting Lisbon - Bidasoa Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 27-30.

Sporting is Qualified for European League (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent matches Sporting is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bidasoa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 89-92.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
25.03.23	Sporting Lisbon - Avanca	32:28 ✺
EHF European League
21.03.23	Bidasoa Irun - Sporting Lisbon	30:27 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
18.03.23	Colegio de Gaia - Sporting Lisbon	30:32 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
04.03.23	Colegio de Gaia - Sporting Lisbon	27:34 ✺
EHF European League
28.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - Nexe	28:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWWL
- Bidasoa Irun
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.03.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Bidasoa Irun	25:30 ✺
EHF European League
21.03.23	Bidasoa Irun - Sporting Lisbon	30:27 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.03.23	Bidasoa Irun - Barcelona	26:32 ✺
EHF European League
28.02.23	Bidasoa Irun - Skanderborg Aarhus	29:26 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.02.23	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	32:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
21.03.23	Bidasoa Irun - Sporting Lisbon	30:27
EHF Champions League
23.11.19	Bidasoa Irun - Sporting Lisbon	32:32
12.10.19	Sporting Lisbon - Bidasoa Irun	30:30

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