Match Info

Superliga - Round 10

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Stal Mielec		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.44	9.6	3.35
	1.38	7.70	3.73	Watch
	1.5	10.7	3.07	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.85)	9.13 ↓ (11)	3.44 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
63.6%

Draw
10%

Zagłębie Lubin
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

8.2%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

7.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Mielec's performance.

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Mielec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Lubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.

Stal Mielec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zagłębie has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stal Mielec is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 516:557. (average 25.8:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 256:263. (average 25.6:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPR Stal Mielec
Polish Superliga Handball
26.10.25	MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec	29:30 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Mielec - Piotrkowianin Piotrków	32:34 penalties ✺
06.10.25	Stal Mielec - Gwardia Opole	25:31 ✺
27.09.25	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - Stal Mielec	35:29 ✺
22.09.25	Stal Mielec - Kalisz	28:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLW
- Zagłębie Lubin Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
23.10.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Legionowo	24:31 ✺
18.10.25	Puławy - Zagłębie Lubin	32:31 ✺
12.10.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Vive Kielce	24:45 ✺
05.10.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zagłębie Lubin	30:22 ✺
27.09.25	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Lubin	46:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
31.05.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec	31:24
27.05.23	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin	19:22
05.02.22	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin	32:31
05.09.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec	25:23
28.03.21	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin	23:21
12.10.20	Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec	30:31 penalties
02.02.20	Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec	32:23

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