Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION - ROUND 14

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Sydhavsøerne		Aarhus HC

	1	X	2
	1.67	8.33	2.75
	1.6	8.5	2.62
	1.58	8.1	2.97
	1.69	9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.86)	8.48 ↑ (7.79)	2.74 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydhavsøerne
55.8%

Draw
10.8%

Aarhus HC
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

11.7%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

11%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydhavsøerne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydhavsøerne's performance.

Aarhus HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aarhus HC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydhavsøerne than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydhavsøerne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus HC than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aarhus HC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sydhavsøerne - Aarhus HC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

Recent matches Sydhavsøerne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aarhus HC in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sydhavsøerne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sydhavsøerne won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 83-86.

Including matches at home between the teams Sydhavsøerne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Sydhavsøerne
Danish 1 Division Handball
02.12.23	Sydhavsøerne - Skovbakken	37:24 ✺
24.11.23	HØJ - Sydhavsøerne	28:33 ✺
17.11.23	Sydhavsøerne - Køge	23:20 ✺
12.11.23	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	24:26 ✺
28.10.23	Midtjylland - Sydhavsøerne	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLL
- Aarhus HC
Danish 1 Division Handball
03.12.23	Tønder - Aarhus HC	26:27 ✺
26.11.23	Aarhus HC - Midtjylland	27:24 ✺
18.11.23	FIF - Aarhus HC	34:37 ✺
12.11.23	Aarhus HC - Rækker Mølle	24:23 ✺
28.10.23	Odder HB - Aarhus HC	24:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
03.09.23	Aarhus HC - Sydhavsøerne	26:26
28.01.23	Aarhus HC - Sydhavsøerne	30:31
24.09.22	Sydhavsøerne - Aarhus HC	26:30

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