Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Tønder		Aarhus HC

	1	X	2
	1.84	7.85	2.43
	1.8	7.5	2.3
	1.8	7.8	2.44
	1.84	7.8	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)	7.74 ↓ (7.9)	2.39 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tønder
50.1%

Draw
11.8%

Aarhus HC
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

11.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

10.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Aarhus HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus HC than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Tønder - Aarhus HC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28

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Preview

Recent matches Tønder is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aarhus HC is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aarhus HC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tønder won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 58-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Tønder won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
26.11.23	Skovbakken - Tønder	31:38 ✺
19.11.23	Tønder - HØJ	28:36 ✺
12.11.23	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	24:26 ✺
29.10.23	Tønder - Køge	28:22 ✺
20.10.23	Tønder - Midtjylland	25:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Aarhus HC
Danish 1 Division Handball
26.11.23	Aarhus HC - Midtjylland	27:24 ✺
18.11.23	FIF - Aarhus HC	34:37 ✺
12.11.23	Aarhus HC - Rækker Mølle	24:23 ✺
28.10.23	Odder HB - Aarhus HC	24:28 ✺
20.10.23	Aarhus HC - Skive FH	22:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
05.03.23	Aarhus HC - Tønder	23:30
06.11.22	Tønder - Aarhus HC	28:27

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