Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Poland	Eurosport 1


	THW Kiel		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	1.85	8.5	2.55	Watch
	1.95	10	2.2
	1.82	8.17	2.45	Watch
	1.67	8	2.5
	1.83	8.1	2.46	Watch
	1.85	8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)	8.46 ↑ (8.28)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
51%

Draw
11%

Paris Saint-Germain
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

11.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

11%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

THW Kiel - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: THW Kiel will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiel won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Paris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kiel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Kiel won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 492-519.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiel won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 234-233.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
26.11.23	Stuttgart - THW Kiel	31:36 ✺
EHF Champions League
22.11.23	Aalborg - THW Kiel	27:27 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
19.11.23	THW Kiel - Füchse Berlin	30:26 ✺
EHF Champions League
16.11.23	THW Kiel - Aalborg	18:27 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
12.11.23	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - THW Kiel	25:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLW
- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
26.11.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB	31:27 ✺
EHF Champions League
22.11.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Kolstad	28:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
19.11.23	Pays dAix - Paris Saint-Germain	31:39 ✺
EHF Champions League
15.11.23	Kolstad - Paris Saint-Germain	36:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
10.11.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon	40:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
26.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	28:34
17.05.23	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	32:29
10.05.23	THW Kiel - Paris Saint-Germain	27:31
19.05.22	THW Kiel - Paris Saint-Germain	33:32
11.05.22	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	30:30
19.05.21	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	34:28
12.05.21	THW Kiel - Paris Saint-Germain	31:29

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