Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	THW Kiel		Vive Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.7	8.5	2.8	Watch
	1.65	11	2.7
	1.63	8.7	2.85	Watch
	1.5	8	3
	1.61	8.4	3.03	Watch
	1.6	8.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)	8.9 ↑ (8.19)	2.9 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
57.5%

Draw
10.4%

Vive Kielce
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

11.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

10.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Vive Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

THW Kiel - Vive Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: THW Kiel will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiel won 1.

Recent matches Kiel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vive Kielce is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vive Kielce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kiel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Kiel won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 292-314.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiel won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 119-117.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
08.10.23	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	34:23 ✺
German DHB Pokal
03.10.23	THW Kiel - HSG Wetzlar	31:32 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
30.09.23	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	34:31 ✺
EHF Champions League
27.09.23	Eurofarm Pelister - THW Kiel	20:23 ✺
21.09.23	THW Kiel - Szeged	35:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW
- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
06.10.23	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Vive Kielce	27:38 ✺
01.10.23	Vive Kielce - Puławy	39:23 ✺
EHF Champions League
27.09.23	Vive Kielce - Paris Saint-Germain	30:29 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
24.09.23	Piotrkowianin Piotrków - Vive Kielce	26:45 ✺
EHF Champions League
21.09.23	Kolstad - Vive Kielce	30:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
09.02.23	THW Kiel - Vive Kielce	32:29
06.10.22	Vive Kielce - THW Kiel	40:37
29.02.20	Vive Kielce - THW Kiel	32:30
15.09.19	THW Kiel - Vive Kielce	30:30
24.02.18	THW Kiel - Vive Kielce	29:30
24.09.17	Vive Kielce - THW Kiel	32:21
31.05.15	Vive Kielce - THW Kiel	28:26

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