Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen		Erlangen

	1	X	2
	3.8	8	1.47
	3.5	9.75	1.48
	3.25	9	1.52
	3.4	9.2	1.48
	3.25	8	1.53
	3.34	9.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	8.88 ↑ (8.2)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
27.3%

Draw
10.5%

Erlangen
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

11.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

10.8%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Erlangen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Friesenheim will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Erlangen will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:26

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation to 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Friesenheim is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erlangen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Friesenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Erlangen is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Friesenheim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 227-242.

Including matches at home between the teams Friesenheim won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 130-134.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
German Bundesliga Handball
11.11.20	Nordhorn-Lingen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	27:24 ✺
29.10.20	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Hannover-Burgdorf	27:27 ✺
22.10.20	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	26:27 ✺
15.10.20	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Magdeburg	22:28 ✺
08.10.20	TBV Lemgo - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	24:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWLL
- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
11.11.20	Erlangen - Stuttgart	34:25 ✺
31.10.20	TUSEM Essen - Erlangen	20:26 ✺
25.10.20	Erlangen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	20:26 ✺
18.10.20	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Erlangen	27:27 ✺
11.10.20	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	31:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
27.02.20	Erlangen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	23:27
21.09.19	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Erlangen	19:23
20.12.18	Erlangen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	26:22
27.09.18	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Erlangen	23:25
03.06.18	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Erlangen	32:29
16.12.17	Erlangen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	22:22
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
24.02.16	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Erlangen	29:31

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