Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Ferndorf		TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen

	1	X	2
	1.64	8.6	2.7
	1.66	7.54	2.74	Watch
	1.67	8	2.5
	1.72	8.7	2.57
	1.66	8.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	8.27 ↓ (8.83)	2.61 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferndorf
54.3%

Draw
11%

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

10.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

9.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferndorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferndorf - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Friesenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferndorf could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 224:214. (average 28:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferndorf won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 134:133. (average 26.8:26.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
05.12.25	Nordhorn-Lingen - Ferndorf	32:28 ✺
28.11.25	Ferndorf - HSC 2000 Coburg	22:25 ✺
21.11.25	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Ferndorf	27:27 ✺
14.11.25	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:28 ✺
09.11.25	Elbflorenz - Ferndorf	33:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLT
- TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
06.12.25	Potsdam - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:32 ✺
21.11.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	40:28 ✺
15.11.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	27:25 ✺
09.11.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:25 ✺
25.10.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Elbflorenz	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Hanbdall
22.08.25	Ferndorf - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	25:31
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
17.04.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Ferndorf	26:31
17.11.24	Ferndorf - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	27:23
30.04.22	Ferndorf - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:24
27.11.21	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Ferndorf	27:27
23.04.17	Ferndorf - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	23:29
20.11.16	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Ferndorf	28:32

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