Match Info

DHB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	TUSEM Essen		Potsdam

	1	X	2
	2.75	7.50	1.63
	2.75	8.5	1.61
	2.74	7.5	1.66
	2.65	8	1.61
	2.71	9	1.65
	2.85	8.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.9)	8.18 ↓ (8.75)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TUSEM Essen
33.2%

Draw
11.1%

Potsdam
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

10.5%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

9.9%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TUSEM Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Potsdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TUSEM Essen than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potsdam than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potsdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

TUSEM Essen - Potsdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Potsdam will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TUSEM Essen won 1.

TUSEM Essen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Potsdam is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Potsdam may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Potsdam holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Potsdam in today's match, at odds of 1.6.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, TUSEM Essen has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 221:216 (averaging 27.6:27 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for TUSEM Essen against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 111:101 goals (averaging 27.8:25.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

TUSEM Essen - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.58%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TUSEM Essen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
18.09.26	Bayer Dormagen - TUSEM Essen	28:26 ✺
11.09.26	TUSEM Essen - Elbflorenz	26:42 ✺
06.09.26	GWD Minden - TUSEM Essen	34:34 ✺
30.08.26	TUSEM Essen - Nordhorn-Lingen	29:32 ✺
German DHB Pokal
21.08.26	TUSEM Essen - SC DHfK Leipzig	36:33 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLTLW
- 1. VfL Potsdam
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
19.09.26	Potsdam - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	23:19 ✺
14.09.26	Emsdetten - Potsdam	31:34 ✺
09.09.26	Potsdam - Hüttenberg	33:32 ✺
29.08.26	HSC 2000 Coburg - Potsdam	30:31 ✺
German DHB Pokal
21.08.26	Vinnhorst - Potsdam	32:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
17.04.26	Potsdam - TUSEM Essen	32:32
15.11.25	TUSEM Essen - Potsdam	28:35
09.02.24	TUSEM Essen - Potsdam	21:25
15.09.23	Potsdam - TUSEM Essen	23:24
14.04.23	Potsdam - TUSEM Essen	28:27
11.11.22	TUSEM Essen - Potsdam	28:20
German DHB Pokal
28.08.22	Potsdam - TUSEM Essen	32:27

TUSEM Essen - Potsdam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide