Match Info

Handbollsligan - Relegation - Final

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Varberg		Eskilstuna Guif

	1	X	2
	1.9	7	2.3
	2.25	8.75	1.91
	1.95	7.6	2.29
	1.97	7.01	2.38	Watch
	2.1	7.5	2.05
	1.97	7.9	2.24
	1.95	7.6	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.3)	7.62 ↑ (7.02)	2.21 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varberg
46%

Draw
12.1%

Eskilstuna Guif
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

12.9%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

12.5%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varberg's performance.

Eskilstuna Guif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eskilstuna Guif might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varberg than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eskilstuna Guif than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eskilstuna Guif could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Varberg - Eskilstuna Guif Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Lineups


1. Aronius C.	33. Bjerneld Z.
47. Berentsen F.	49. Borg I.
88. Brodow S.	20. Conrad V.
19. Eriksson L.	25. Gustafsson N.
7. Gudmundsson A.	10. Gustavsson F.
22. Lindberg L.	29. Hanisch R.
24. Lindgren D.	61. Jorgensen J.
9. Lind J.	11. Lundh M.
4. Lindroos D.	5. Mirindi X.
2. Roken O.	36. Nielsen J.
18. Sjogren J.	18. Norrman M.
5. Sjolin E.	30. Osterhall O.
12. Sjostrom O.	1. Roganovic M.
15. Skoog A.	28. Tikas P.
3. Stjernberg A.	14. Wangenborn P.
11. Szybanow J.	12. Westerlung S.

Preview

4th leg. Guif leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Varberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 156:163 (average 22.3:23.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 75:71 (average 25:23.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Varberg
Swedish Elitserien Handball
03.04.25	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	30:31 ✺
30.03.25	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	30:25 ✺
25.03.25	Varberg - Eskilstuna Guif	19:22 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
18.03.25	IFK Ystad - Varberg	28:28 ✺
08.03.25	Varberg - Aranäs	24:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTW
- Eskilstuna Guif
Swedish Elitserien Handball
03.04.25	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	30:31 ✺
30.03.25	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	30:25 ✺
25.03.25	Varberg - Eskilstuna Guif	19:22 ✺
20.03.25	Eskilstuna Guif - Kristianstad	29:35 ✺
08.03.25	Hammarby - Eskilstuna Guif	35:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
03.04.25	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	30:31
30.03.25	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	30:25
25.03.25	Varberg - Eskilstuna Guif	19:22
27.12.20	Varberg - Eskilstuna Guif	27:21
11.11.20	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	32:25
17.03.20	Eskilstuna Guif - Varberg	Canceled
15.10.19	Varberg - Eskilstuna Guif	29:28

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