Match Info

European League - Group Stage

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay


	Vardar		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.25	10	4.75	Watch
	1.29	11	4.3	Watch
	1.36	8.73	3.71	Watch
	1.25	10	4.5
	1.27	10.5	4.94
	1.25	10	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	10.04 ↑ (8.91)	4.49 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
70.8%

Draw
9%

Fenix Toulouse
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

10.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

9.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vardar - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 1 - 50%). Toulouse (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 - Toulouse (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Toulouse (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Preview

Vardar is Qualified for European League

Vardar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Toulouse has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vardar is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vardar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Vardar Skopje
EHF European League
25.11.25	Sesvete - Vardar	24:38 ✺
18.11.25	Vardar - Kristianstad	35:30 ✺
11.11.25	Kristianstad - Vardar	32:31 ✺
21.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Vardar	26:28 ✺
14.10.25	Vardar - Sesvete	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWW
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
28.11.25	Limoges - Fenix Toulouse	30:35 ✺
EHF European League
25.11.25	Kristianstad - Fenix Toulouse	34:26 ✺
French Starligue Handball
21.11.25	Fenix Toulouse - Dunkerque	36:27 ✺
EHF European League
18.11.25	Fenix Toulouse - Sesvete	32:37 ✺
11.11.25	Sesvete - Fenix Toulouse	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
21.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Vardar	26:28

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