The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa de Aranda 54.4%
Draw 11.3%
Alser Puerto Sagunto 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.8%
12.1%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
11.9%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Alser Puerto Sagunto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alser Puerto Sagunto than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Villa de Aranda - Alser Puerto Sagunto Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Villa de Aranda will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Division de Honor Plata and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 0.
Villa de Aranda is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Puerto Sagunto is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Puerto Sagunto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Villa de Aranda is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Villa de Aranda has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 423:492 (averaging 24.9:28.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villa de Aranda against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 233:255 goals (averaging 25.9:28.3 per game).