Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 21

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Villa de Aranda		Atlético Novás

	1	X	2
	1.45	9.06	3.56
	1.6	8.1	2.9
	1.59	8.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	8.59 ↑ (7.3)	3.17 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
60%

Draw
10.8%

Atlético Novás
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

12.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

12.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Atlético Novás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Novás than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Villa de Aranda - Atlético Novás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 1.

Recent matches Villa de Aranda is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Novás is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Villa de Aranda is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 191-192.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa de Aranda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 99-95.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.02.24	Oviedo - Villa de Aranda	27:29 ✺
11.02.24	Villa de Aranda - Quabit Guadalajara	29:30 ✺
03.02.24	Antequera - Villa de Aranda	27:21 ✺
27.01.24	Villa de Aranda - EÓN Alicante	29:22 ✺
20.01.24	Mallorca - Villa de Aranda	21:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLWW
- Atlético Novás
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.02.24	Atlético Novás - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	24:19 ✺
10.02.24	Zamora - Atlético Novás	24:24 ✺
03.02.24	Atlético Novás - Agustinos Alicante	27:21 ✺
27.01.24	Cisne - Atlético Novás	28:28 ✺
21.01.24	Atlético Novás - Barcelona II	28:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
21.10.23	Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda	21:23
03.12.22	Villa de Aranda - Atlético Novás	25:26
17.09.22	Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda	24:22
06.02.22	Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda	26:19
13.11.21	Villa de Aranda - Atlético Novás	22:24
30.11.19	Villa de Aranda - Atlético Novás	26:22
16.03.19	Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda	26:28

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