Match Info

HLA - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Wiener Stadthalle - Halle B (Vienna)


	West Wien		HSG Graz

	1	X	2
	2.55	8.4	1.7
	2.75	7.9	1.66	Watch
	2.55	8.4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.51)	8.23 ↑ (7.93)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Wien
34.9%

Draw
11.1%

HSG Graz
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

11.5%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

11.6%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

HSG Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Wien than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

West Wien - HSG Graz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Lineups


25. Bernkop-Schnurch F.	11. Albek J.
5. Derdak E.	23. Belos N.
13. Drager A.	16. Budovic J.
23. Edionwe B.	12. Eichberger T.
37. Fruhstuck F.	7. Galina M.
70. Gareis L.	4. Hinterreiter P.
32. Huber B.	14. Hofer M.
10. Kofler G.	77. Jensterle J.
2. Meleschnig C.	13. Kolb J.
15. Miteff J.	15. Offner P.
3. Mostl C.	66. Raschid R.
77. Pajer P.	20. Scherr T.
44. Pfeifer P.	24. Schimmel F.
1. Uvodic S.	29. Schweighofer L.
31. Weik F.	33. Schweighofer L.
90. Wiegrefe B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Wien won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

HSG Graz could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Wien won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 618:538. (average 30.9:26.9).

Including home matches between the teams, West Wien won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 347:294. (average 31.5:26.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Handball West Wien
Austrian NLA Handball
30.04.25	West Wien - Bärnbach Köflach	24:22 ✺
26.04.25	Ferlach - West Wien	30:26 ✺
12.04.25	Bärnbach Köflach - West Wien	29:31 ✺
05.04.25	West Wien - HSG Graz	28:31 ✺
28.03.25	Alpla Hard - West Wien	34:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
30.04.25	HSG Graz - Ferlach	30:28 ✺
26.04.25	Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz	26:25 ✺
12.04.25	HSG Graz - Ferlach	32:29 ✺
05.04.25	West Wien - HSG Graz	28:31 ✺
29.03.25	HSG Graz - Füchse	29:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
05.04.25	West Wien - HSG Graz	28:31
16.11.24	HSG Graz - West Wien	30:26
Austrian OHB Cup
19.04.24	West Wien - HSG Graz	28:25
Austrian NLA Handball
11.02.23	HSG Graz - West Wien	22:36
Austrian OHB Cup
28.01.23	West Wien - HSG Graz	40:29
Austrian NLA Handball
09.10.22	West Wien - HSG Graz	37:27
02.04.22	West Wien - HSG Graz	35:30

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