Match Info

Superliga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Wisła Płock		Vive Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.7	8	2.55
	1.71	7.4	2.68
	1.67	8	2.5
	1.72	8.7	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)	8.03 ↓ (8.44)	2.58 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
53.4%

Draw
11.3%

Vive Kielce
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

10.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

9.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vive Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vive Kielce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wisła Płock - Vive Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 4.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Wisła Płock might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Wisła Płock will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 557:529. (average 27.9:26.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 344:316. (average 28.7:26.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Kielce	7	7	0	0	0	275:187	21
2	Wisla Plock	5	5	0	0	0	198:123	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
09.05.26	Wisła Płock - Wybrzeże Gdańsk	38:18 ✺
04.05.26	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	21:32 ✺
25.04.26	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	30:22 ✺
22.04.26	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	23:35 ✺
12.04.26	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	24:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWW
- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
08.05.26	Vive Kielce - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	30:23 ✺
03.05.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Vive Kielce	26:34 ✺
25.04.26	Vive Kielce - Kalisz	40:24 ✺
22.04.26	Kalisz - Vive Kielce	21:37 ✺
12.04.26	Stal Mielec - Vive Kielce	27:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
01.03.26	Wisła Płock - Vive Kielce	32:31 penalties
19.10.25	Vive Kielce - Wisła Płock	27:32
Polish Super Cup Handball
30.08.25	Wisła Płock - Vive Kielce	31:32 penalties
Polish Superliga Handball
04.06.25	Vive Kielce - Wisła Płock	24:25 penalties
27.05.25	Wisła Płock - Vive Kielce	30:29
Polish Cup Handball
13.04.25	Vive Kielce - Wisła Płock	27:24
Polish Superliga Handball
02.03.25	Vive Kielce - Wisła Płock	25:24

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