Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Orlen Arena (Płock)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wisła Płock		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.88	8	2.45	Watch
	1.85	8.25	2.45
	1.83	7.6	2.37	Watch
	1.84	7.92	2.49
	1.8	7.5	2.38
	1.83	8	2.5	Watch
	1.83	7.6	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	7.84 ↑ (7.78)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
50.2%

Draw
11.8%

HBC Nantes
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

11.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

11.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wisła Płock - HBC Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Lineups


32. Alilovic M.	8. Abdi A.
3. Daszek M.	9. Avelange T.
33. Dawydzik D.	30. Biosca I.
24. Fazekas G.	13. Bos J.
16. Hallgrimsson V.	3. Briet T.
8. Janc M.	15. Gaber M.
26. Krajewski P.	18. Lagarde R.
87. Michalowicz F.	2. Milosavljevic M.
34. Mihic L.	20. Nassequela S.
7. Piroch T.	17. Noam L.
17. Serdio A.	16. Nyateu O.
19. Susnja L.	19. Odriozola K.
49. Szita Z.	1. Pesic I.
30. Terzic M.	7. Rivera V.
23. Zarabec M.	11. Tournat N.
89. Zhitnikov D.	5. Yoshida S.

Preview

1st leg.

Wisła Płock is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wisła Płock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 122:125 (average 30.5:31.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 62:64 (average 31:32).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
22.03.25	Kalisz - Wisła Płock	21:37 ✺
19.03.25	Wisła Płock - Gwardia Opole	37:30 ✺
08.03.25	Wisła Płock - Legionowo	42:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
06.03.25	Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon	29:29 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
02.03.25	Vive Kielce - Wisła Płock	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWTL
- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
22.03.25	HBC Nantes - Dunkerque	30:21 ✺
09.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - HBC Nantes	34:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
05.03.25	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	29:29 ✺
French Starligue Handball
01.03.25	HBC Nantes - Chartres	32:25 ✺
EHF Champions League
26.02.25	Vive Kielce - HBC Nantes	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
29.03.23	HBC Nantes - Wisła Płock	29:30 penalties
22.03.23	Wisła Płock - HBC Nantes	32:32
25.11.17	HBC Nantes - Wisła Płock	32:30
05.11.17	Wisła Płock - HBC Nantes	30:32

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